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Red87
19337.5
243838.9
341430.7
Blue115
173043.8
580527.4
142546.0
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311540608014016018087115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#50
38.91.3
31.229.9
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
blue by 7.1
46.00.4
43.443.1
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End12.6
Second
193
#45
37.51.3
38.937.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
blue by 6.3
1730
#51
43.80.4
41.140.7
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Third
3414
#61
30.71.3
31.930.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 3.3
5805
#54
27.40.4
25.825.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed