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Qual 282016 Hopper Division
Red139
23133.7
561835.3
14867.1
Blue121
360443.4
81230.8
554636.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210750200139121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
67.10.4
63.9→64.3
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
red by 23.7
3604
#53
43.40.8
40.2→41.0
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
Second
5618
#15
35.30.4
34.0→34.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
blue by 1.4
5546
#19
36.70.8
36.3→37.1
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
Third
231
#10
33.70.4
35.2→35.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
red by 2.9
812
#71
30.80.8
32.7→33.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed