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Qual 32016 Hopper Division
Red65
607016.2
173043.8
583928.8
Blue82
30337.3
516635.1
408535.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871130501001502006582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#51
43.81.5
42.6→41.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 6.5
303
#6
37.32.3
40.4→38.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Second
5839
#58
28.81.5
33.0→31.5
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.3
blue by 6.6
4085
#20
35.42.3
33.8→31.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Third
6070
#64
16.21.9
12.3→10.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 18.9
5166
#39
35.12.3
32.1→29.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsMissed