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Qual 42016 Hopper Division
Red119
454723.1
97167.2
29447.6
Blue170
101137.3
14867.1
179635.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122147050100200250300350119170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
67.20.2
60.7→60.4
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 0.1
148
#1
67.11.4
62.0→63.4
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
Second
294
#7
47.60.2
38.1→37.9
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 10.3
1011
#43
37.31.4
38.0→39.4
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Third
4547
#68
23.10.2
23.8→23.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 12.0
1796
#27
35.11.4
38.9→40.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed46%Capture oddsEarned