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Red122
67024.5
167865.8
299035.7
Blue74
580527.4
433458.2
523226.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610940608010014016018012274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.6
60.459.9
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
red by 7.6
58.22.3
53.451.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
Second
2990
#35
35.70.6
35.034.5
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
red by 8.3
5805
#54
27.43.1
28.024.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Third
670
#69
24.50.6
24.824.3
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End2.6
blue by 1.7
5232
#56
26.23.3
26.923.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed