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Red107
173645.7
247140.3
496747.2
Blue120
437738.0
173231.9
543134.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539650200107120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
47.22.5
50.347.7
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 9.2
4377
#38
38.01.2
37.438.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End9.7
Second
1736
#12
45.72.5
47.544.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
red by 11.4
5431
#16
34.31.2
31.432.6
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
2471
#44
40.32.5
42.539.9
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
red by 8.4
1732
#59
31.91.2
33.134.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
93%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed