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Red111
97167.2
509829.5
273327.7
Blue105
132343.0
424134.2
421636.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231126080100140160180200111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
67.20.5
62.962.4
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 24.1
1323
#25
43.01.1
41.340.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
Second
5098
#37
29.50.5
29.328.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
blue by 6.6
4216
#41
36.11.1
36.635.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
Third
2733
#29
27.70.5
25.925.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
blue by 6.5
4241
#32
34.21.1
32.931.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsMissed