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Qual 322016 Hopper Division
Red131
525446.6
30337.3
433458.2
Blue119
7043.7
101137.3
458748.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412650100200250131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
58.20.4
52.6→52.2
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
red by 9.6
4587
#11
48.60.7
42.7→42.0
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
5254
#46
46.60.4
47.1→46.7
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
red by 2.9
70
#28
43.70.7
44.6→43.9
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Third
303
#6
37.30.4
37.7→37.2
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Level
1011
#43
37.30.7
37.5→36.8
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
81%Capture oddsEarned65%Capture oddsEarned