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Qual 422016 Hopper Division
Red127
433458.2
173043.8
179635.1
Blue116
153845.3
240525.3
59727.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428850100200127116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
58.20.2
52.2→51.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
red by 12.9
1538
#21
45.31.2
44.7→45.8
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
Second
1730
#51
43.80.2
40.7→40.5
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 16.5
597
#67
27.31.2
25.2→26.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
1796
#27
35.10.2
37.6→37.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 9.8
2405
#63
25.31.2
23.5→24.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed