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Red90
364614.7
360443.4
299035.7
Blue129
19337.5
543134.3
121831.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871115010015090129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#53
43.40.1
41.041.1
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
red by 5.9
193
#45
37.50.6
37.638.2
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
2990
#35
35.70.1
34.534.6
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
red by 1.4
5431
#16
34.30.6
31.932.5
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
3646
#74
14.70.1
12.913.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
blue by 17.3
1218
#62
31.90.6
35.035.6
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned