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Red125
458748.6
406029.3
591036.8
Blue96
516635.1
561835.3
332431.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059240608012014016012596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
48.61.7
42.043.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 13.3
5618
#15
35.30.0
34.434.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
5910
#31
36.81.7
31.032.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End5.5
red by 1.7
5166
#39
35.10.0
31.131.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
Third
4060
#26
29.31.7
27.028.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
blue by 1.8
3324
#70
31.00.0
25.525.5
Auto10.1
Teleop18.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned27%Capture oddsMissed