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Red125
301926.5
34645.3
408535.4
Blue102
67024.5
326034.9
86947.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105102708090110120130125102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.31.3
40.441.7
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
blue by 2.2
869
#40
47.40.1
46.046.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
4085
#20
35.41.3
34.435.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 0.5
3260
#65
34.90.1
32.632.6
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
3019
#66
26.51.3
25.626.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
red by 2.0
670
#69
24.50.1
22.122.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed