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Qual 472016 Hopper Division
Red109
173231.9
580527.4
17238.6
Blue97
7043.7
492029.9
171232.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810940608012014016018010997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#30
38.60.1
40.1→40.2
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
blue by 5.0
70
#28
43.70.9
43.9→43.0
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Second
1732
#59
31.90.1
31.8→31.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 0.3
1712
#8
32.20.9
31.2→30.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
Third
5805
#54
27.40.1
25.4→25.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
blue by 2.5
4920
#52
29.90.9
29.8→28.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsMissed