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Qual 492016 Hopper Division
Red124
581134.1
607016.2
168440.7
Blue86
523226.2
454723.1
77120.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9364020408012014016012486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#36
40.72.2
37.7→39.9
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
red by 14.5
5232
#56
26.20.7
26.7→27.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Second
5811
#48
34.12.2
36.7→38.8
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 11.0
4547
#68
23.10.6
19.8→20.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
6070
#64
16.22.2
12.0→14.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 4.7
771
#49
20.90.6
20.1→20.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed