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Qual 502016 Hopper Division
Red110
580128.2
388029.3
14867.1
Blue130
201345.2
583928.8
496747.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912590100110120140150110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
67.11.3
64.3→62.9
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
red by 19.8
4967
#14
47.20.2
46.5→46.3
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
3880
#34
29.31.3
35.1→33.7
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 15.8
2013
#17
45.20.2
47.4→47.3
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Third
5801
#57
28.21.3
25.7→24.3
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
blue by 0.7
5839
#58
28.80.2
28.5→28.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed77%Capture oddsMissed