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Red113
516635.1
12332.4
406029.3
Blue111
173645.7
59727.3
299035.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011450100150200113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#39
35.11.1
31.132.2
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
blue by 10.6
1736
#12
45.70.1
46.546.4
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Second
123
#18
32.41.1
31.432.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
blue by 3.3
2990
#35
35.70.1
34.634.5
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Third
4060
#26
29.31.1
28.629.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
red by 2.0
597
#67
27.30.1
26.426.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed57%Capture oddsEarned