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Red71
364614.7
176932.3
591036.8
Blue151
171232.2
615333.4
97167.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641355010015020071151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#31
36.80.1
32.732.6
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End5.5
blue by 30.4
971
#4
67.22.0
59.661.6
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
1769
#55
32.30.1
26.426.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 1.1
6153
#33
33.42.0
31.333.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Third
3646
#74DQ
14.70.1
13.113.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
blue by 17.5
32.22.0
30.332.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed81%Capture oddsEarned