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Red126
433458.2
77120.9
155933.9
Blue81
273327.7
173043.8
68639.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010440608012014016012681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.3
51.952.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
red by 14.4
1730
#51
43.81.4
40.539.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Second
1559
#47
33.90.3
33.433.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
blue by 5.1
686
#13
39.11.4
35.934.5
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Third
771
#49
20.90.3
20.721.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 6.8
2733
#29
27.71.4
25.724.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed