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Qual 622016 Hopper Division
Red125
496747.2
580128.2
121831.9
Blue117
101137.3
492029.9
168440.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081098090100120130140125117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
47.21.2
46.3→47.6
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 6.6
1684
#36
40.70.2
39.9→39.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Second
1218
#62
31.91.2
35.6→36.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
blue by 5.4
1011
#43
37.30.2
36.2→36.0
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Third
5801
#57
28.21.2
24.3→25.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
blue by 1.7
4920
#52
29.90.2
28.9→28.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsMissed