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Red118
243838.9
525446.6
59727.3
Blue178
34645.3
97167.2
360443.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715850200118178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#46
46.60.3
46.046.4
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
blue by 20.6
971
#4
67.22.2
61.663.8
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
2438
#50
38.90.3
30.630.9
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
blue by 6.3
346
#9
45.32.2
41.743.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Third
597
#67
27.30.3
26.326.6
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 16.1
3604
#53
43.42.2
41.543.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed52%Capture oddsEarned