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Qual 722016 Hopper Division
Red109
29447.6
525446.6
23133.7
Blue114
580128.2
516635.1
86947.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131103406080120140160180200109114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
47.60.9
42.2→41.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 0.2
869
#40
47.40.3
46.6→46.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
5254
#46
46.60.9
46.4→45.4
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
red by 11.5
5166
#39
35.10.3
32.2→32.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
Third
231
#10
33.70.9
34.5→33.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
red by 5.5
5801
#57
28.20.3
25.6→25.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed