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Red90
34645.3
523226.2
17238.6
Blue153
201345.2
14867.1
30337.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071625015020025090153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.31.5
43.942.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
blue by 21.8
148
#1
67.11.4
65.964.4
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
Second
172
#30
38.61.5
40.038.5
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
blue by 6.5
2013
#17
45.21.4
46.445.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Third
5232
#56
26.21.5
28.126.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 11.1
303
#6
37.31.4
37.335.9
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed96%Capture oddsEarned