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Red112
68639.1
299035.7
240525.3
Blue104
607016.2
173231.9
101137.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9882050150112104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#13
39.10.9
34.535.4
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 1.7
1011
#43
37.31.1
36.037.1
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Second
2990
#35
35.70.9
34.535.4
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
red by 3.8
1732
#59
31.91.1
31.232.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Third
2405
#63
25.30.9
24.125.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 9.1
6070
#64
16.21.1
15.016.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned