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Red101
561835.3
243838.9
155933.9
Blue142
599625.1
167865.8
454723.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102104050150200250300350101142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#50
38.90.2
30.930.7
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
blue by 26.9
65.82.4
59.061.4
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
Second
5618
#15
35.30.2
34.834.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
red by 10.2
5996
#24
25.12.4
22.524.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
Third
1559
#47
33.90.2
33.833.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
red by 10.8
4547
#68
23.12.4
19.622.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned