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Red136
36439.0
12332.4
173043.8
Blue100
171232.2
132343.0
425633.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111112100105115120125130135136100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#51
43.80.9
40.441.3
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 0.8
1323
#25
43.00.6
43.743.1
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
Second
364
#42
39.00.9
36.637.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.5
End9.4
red by 6.0
4256
#22
33.00.6
32.331.7
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
Third
123
#18
32.40.9
30.831.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
red by 0.3
32.20.6
32.532.0
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed