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Red93
301926.5
77120.9
360443.4
Blue73
589923.5
580527.4
406029.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99770501502009373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#53
43.40.0
43.743.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
red by 14.2
4060
#26
29.30.3
30.029.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Second
3019
#66
26.50.0
28.328.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
blue by 0.8
5805
#54
27.40.3
25.925.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Third
771
#49
20.90.0
20.720.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 2.6
5899
#72
23.50.3
22.221.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed