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Red113
168440.7
615333.4
299035.7
Blue127
81230.8
424134.2
458748.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101146080100120140160180113127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#36
40.70.7
39.238.6
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
blue by 8.0
4587
#11
48.61.1
44.845.9
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
2990
#35
35.70.7
35.434.7
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
red by 1.5
4241
#32
34.21.1
33.734.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
Third
6153
#33
33.40.7
33.332.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
red by 2.5
812
#71
30.81.1
31.933.0
Auto8.5
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed