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Red119
247140.3
201345.2
17238.6
Blue137
68639.1
243838.9
516635.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369650150200119137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#17
45.20.5
45.645.2
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 6.1
686
#13
39.12.6
35.438.0
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
2471
#44
40.30.5
42.341.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
red by 1.4
2438
#50
38.92.6
30.733.2
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
Third
172
#30
38.60.5
38.137.7
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
red by 3.6
5166
#39
35.12.6
32.535.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsEarned