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Red250
36439.0
14867.1
167865.8
Blue180
433458.2
29447.6
173231.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22415950100200250300350400450250180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
67.10.5
67.067.5
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
red by 8.9
58.20.4
57.457.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
Second
65.80.5
65.766.2
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
red by 18.3
294
#7
47.60.4
46.847.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
Third
364
#42
39.00.5
38.939.4
Auto8.1
Teleop21.5
End9.4
red by 7.1
1732
#59
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0