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Qual 102016 Iowa Regional
Red81
453631.8
590614.4
313032.6
Blue54
181625.5
318425.4
363324.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766340801001208154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
32.61.0
34.6→35.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
red by 7.1
1816
#18
25.50.9
23.2→22.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Second
4536
#10
31.81.0
23.5→24.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
red by 6.5
3184
#42
25.41.0
18.3→17.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
Third
5906
#50
14.41.0
13.5→14.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 10.1
3633
#47
24.41.0
21.7→20.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed