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Qual 112016 Iowa Regional
Red92
222021.9
593515.8
52548.1
Blue51
247017.2
96723.3
217527.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83672040601001201409251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
48.11.6
37.0→38.5
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 20.3
2175
#40
27.91.8
23.3→21.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.0
End3.2
Second
2220
#36
21.91.0
26.1→27.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
blue by 1.4
967
#39
23.31.8
24.5→22.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
5935
#49
15.81.6
14.9→16.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 1.5
2470
#45
17.21.8
19.5→17.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed