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Qual 122016 Iowa Regional
Red53
216420.4
251241.5
181019.9
Blue80
253817.6
464632.8
481828.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76744050607080901001105380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#8
41.51.8
36.5→34.6
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
red by 8.7
4646
#19
32.80.2
34.7→34.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
2164
#32
20.41.5
19.2→17.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 8.4
4818
#5
28.80.2
17.9→18.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Third
1810
#51
19.91.5
17.9→16.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 2.2
2538
#41
17.60.2
19.6→19.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed