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Red80
318425.4
177539.5
308121.4
Blue82
222021.9
301823.0
288341.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751002040601201401601808082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.3
37.637.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
blue by 2.0
2883
#11
41.61.3
41.640.3
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
Second
3184
#42
25.40.4
17.317.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
red by 2.3
3018
#26
23.01.8
24.222.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End1.8
Third
3081
#48
21.40.4
21.421.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 0.5
2220
#36
21.91.1
27.226.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed