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Red80
453631.8
329815.0
115632.8
Blue95
252626.2
172325.3
544239.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668220401001201408095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#31
32.81.5
24.225.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End3.0
blue by 6.5
39.30.9
33.534.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Second
4536
#10
31.81.5
24.626.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
red by 5.7
2526
#16
26.21.0
18.719.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End4.1
Third
3298
#34
15.01.2
17.418.6
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
blue by 10.3
1723
#29
25.30.9
25.126.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed