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Red82
217527.9
16728.0
302627.8
Blue72
216420.4
241029.8
306725.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6669204060801001208272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#12
28.01.9
25.127.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
blue by 1.8
2410
#23
29.80.4
28.929.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
2175
#40
27.91.9
21.823.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.0
End3.2
red by 2.5
3067
#43
25.30.6
22.322.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Third
3026
#38
27.81.9
18.019.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 7.3
2164
#32
20.40.4
15.315.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed