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Qual 342016 Iowa Regional
Red88
363027.3
252626.2
388327.4
Blue56
253817.6
308121.4
363324.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657002040801001201401608856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#37
27.41.6
23.8→25.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 3.0
3633
#47
24.41.2
21.8→20.6
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Second
3630
#21
27.31.6
20.2→21.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 5.9
3081
#48
21.41.2
21.8→20.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Third
2526
#16
26.21.1
19.7→20.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 8.5
2538
#41
17.60.8
23.3→22.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed