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Qual 352016 Iowa Regional
Red95
176425.3
481828.8
177539.5
Blue91
453631.8
173042.6
247017.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8080506070901001109591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#3
39.51.1
37.8→38.9
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
blue by 3.1
1730
#4
42.60.9
37.5→38.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Second
4818
#5
28.81.2
19.0→20.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
blue by 3.0
4536
#10
31.81.5
26.1→27.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
Third
1764
#25
25.31.1
21.8→22.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 8.0
2470
#45
17.21.5
13.8→15.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed