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Red159
313032.6
517254.9
288341.6
Blue76
222021.9
464632.8
172325.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140815010015020015976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.92.0
46.948.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 22.0
4646
#19
32.81.7
35.633.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
2883
#11
41.61.8
42.744.4
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
red by 16.3
1723
#29
25.31.7
25.523.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Third
32.63.0
37.740.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
red by 10.7
2220
#36
21.91.7
26.124.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed