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Qual 402016 Iowa Regional
Red105
544239.3
557630.4
241029.8
Blue107
222021.9
270529.1
481828.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10466204080120140160180105107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#6
39.30.6
36.2→36.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 10.2
2705
#13
29.13.0
25.7→28.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
Second
5576
#17
30.41.0
30.3→31.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 1.5
4818
#5
28.81.8
20.2→22.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Third
2410
#23
29.80.6
29.3→29.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 7.9
2220
#36
21.91.8
24.4→26.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed