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Red106
313032.6
176425.3
530615.3
Blue72
616417.3
252626.2
308121.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865520408010012014010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.9
40.642.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
red by 6.5
2526
#16
26.20.6
20.821.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End4.1
Second
1764
#25
25.31.1
22.924.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 3.9
3081
#48
21.41.0
20.621.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Third
5306
#53
15.31.9
15.817.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 2.0
6164
#28
17.31.0
16.717.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed