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Qual 422016 Iowa Regional
Red85
177539.5
453631.8
593515.8
Blue63
306725.3
582326.3
181019.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87582040801001201408563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#3
39.50.0
38.9→38.9
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
red by 13.2
5823
#22
26.30.3
19.2→19.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Second
4536
#10
31.80.0
27.6→27.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
red by 6.5
3067
#43
25.30.3
22.9→23.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Third
5935
#49
15.80.0
13.3→13.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 4.1
1810
#51
19.90.2
18.2→18.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed