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Red74
64827.4
363027.3
363324.4
Blue75
251241.5
301823.0
247017.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727740601001207475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#15
27.40.2
28.328.1
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
blue by 14.1
41.50.1
37.037.1
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
3630
#21
27.30.2
21.821.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 4.3
3018
#26
23.00.1
21.721.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End1.8
Third
3633
#47
24.40.2
20.620.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 7.2
2470
#45
17.20.1
15.315.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed