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Qual 452016 Iowa Regional
Red83
96723.3
241029.8
16728.0
Blue79
176425.3
318425.4
375031.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83772040601001201401608379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#23
29.80.2
29.9→30.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
blue by 1.7
3750
#44
31.50.1
28.9→28.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Second
167
#12
28.00.4
28.5→28.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
red by 2.6
3184
#42
25.40.1
22.5→22.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
Third
967
#39
23.30.4
21.4→21.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 1.9
1764
#25
25.30.1
24.0→23.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed