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Qual 522016 Iowa Regional
Red115
177539.5
217527.9
392830.4
Blue97
181625.5
530819.2
251241.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9476406010012014011597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#3
39.51.8
38.9→40.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
blue by 2.0
2512
#8
41.51.4
37.1→38.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
3928
#33
30.42.9
25.3→28.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
red by 4.8
1816
#18
25.51.4
24.4→25.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
2175
#40
27.92.9
24.4→27.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.0
End3.2
red by 8.6
5308
#52
19.22.3
14.8→17.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed