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Red68
557630.4
182528.7
253817.6
Blue60
504116.8
64827.4
308121.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92684060801001201406860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#17
30.42.0
31.329.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 2.9
648
#15
27.43.3
28.124.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Second
1825
#27
28.71.2
32.531.3
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 7.3
3081
#48
21.43.3
21.618.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Third
2538
#41
17.61.2
22.221.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 0.9
5041
#46
16.83.3
19.616.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed