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Red102
222021.9
176425.3
16728.0
Blue67
302627.8
388327.4
593515.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836720406010012014010267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#12
28.01.5
28.830.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
red by 0.2
3026
#38
27.80.6
25.624.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Second
1764
#25
25.30.9
23.924.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
blue by 2.2
3883
#37
27.40.6
28.527.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End4.4
Third
2220
#36
21.90.9
25.726.6
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
red by 6.2
5935
#49
15.80.6
13.813.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed