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Red91
252626.2
481828.8
318425.4
Blue81
115632.8
530819.2
593515.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745402040601001201409181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.5
24.726.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
blue by 3.9
1156
#31
32.82.2
27.629.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End3.0
Second
2526
#16
26.21.5
22.524.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 6.9
5308
#52
19.22.2
14.516.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
3184
#42
25.42.3
21.924.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
red by 9.6
5935
#49
15.82.2
13.115.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed