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Qual 642016 Iowa Regional
Red74
301823.0
464632.8
582326.3
Blue61
557630.4
16728.0
530615.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7980506070901007461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#19
32.80.5
31.8→31.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
red by 2.5
5576
#17
30.41.6
29.7→28.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
5823
#22
26.30.9
21.8→21.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 1.7
167
#12
28.01.6
30.3→28.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Third
3018
#26
23.00.9
23.7→22.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 7.7
5306
#53
15.31.6
16.6→14.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed