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Red85
392830.4
96723.3
120829.6
Blue86
253817.6
453631.8
302627.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787540506070901001108586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#33
30.41.0
26.727.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
blue by 1.5
4536
#10
31.81.3
29.731.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
Second
1208
#35
29.60.6
27.728.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End4.3
red by 1.8
3026
#38
27.81.3
24.926.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Third
967
#39
23.31.0
21.122.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 5.7
2538
#41
17.60.9
18.519.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed