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Qual 692016 Iowa Regional
Red102
172325.3
173042.6
270529.1
Blue147
308121.4
52548.1
251241.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971036080120140102147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#4
42.60.5
41.6→42.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
blue by 5.5
525
#2
48.12.9
43.6→46.5
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
Second
2705
#13
29.10.7
28.4→29.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
blue by 12.5
2512
#8
41.51.9
39.5→41.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Third
1723
#29
25.30.5
24.8→25.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
red by 3.9
3081
#48
21.42.9
15.7→18.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned